Published in Scientific Papers. Series E. Land Reclamation, Earth Observation & Surveying, Environmental Engineering, Vol. VII
Written by Constanta BORONEANT, Dan BALTEANU, Monica DUMITRASCU, Diana DOGARU
The Romanian Plain, covering a surface area of about 52 600 sq.km and stretching along the Danube, is one of the largest agricultural regions in the European Union. It presents diverse ecological conditions in four major zonal units, steppe, silvo-steppe, forest zone and its large Danube floodplain. In this context, the assessments of climate change, specifically of those climatic elements like temperature and precipitation which may have an important impact on various economic sectors, represent a necessary scientific support for end-users to envisage sustainable development strategies. This paper presents 1) the evaluation of the regional climatic model RCA4 driven by the ERA-Interim reanalysis and five general climatic models under historical forcing, 2) the adjustment of the bias identified in the simulations compared to the observation data using the Delta Change method, and 3) the projected changes of seasonal mean temperature and precipitation in the Romanian Plain for the mid-term period 2021-2050 under the RCP4.5 scenario compared with the reference period 1971-2000 of ROCADA observations.
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